 House price growth in Scotland has quickened after a tempestuous year with prices up 1.4% year on year, more than double the 0.6% annual growth seen in the previous month.
Month on month prices were up 0.5% taking the cost of an average home to £167,505, according to the Your Move house price index.
Growth is yet to hit a third of the speed seen in September last year when annual growth was 5.4% but sales have soared to reach their highest rate for the month of September for eight years, up 10% on a year ago.
Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, explained that usually there is a decline in house purchase activity between August and September, as a lagged effect of the summer holidays.
‘However, this month’s figures go against this trend. Despite other headwinds, this could be down to Scotland’s rising employment rate, increasing by 3,000 in the three months to September to 2,614,000 according to the ONS. With interest rates unlikely to change until 2017, low borrowing costs and near zero inflation should also help to pull up prices in the future,’ she said.
Regionally, this means that 23 of Scotland’s local authorities have seen annual price growth, up from 22 last month. However, prices are still lower in seven of the nine most expensive local authorities, and Campbell said that the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax is still preventing the top end of the market from taking off. There have been fewer high value sales since the introduction of the tax.
She also pointed out that if September’s pace of growth has been seen throughout the year it would translate to 6.2% annual growth but year on year growth is four times slower than the 5.4% recorded in September 2014.
‘Looking back at the past half decade, Scotland has seen the second lowest price house price growth across Great Britain. Only house prices in the North of England have risen slower. Scotland’s house price increases have been generally steadier, growing by a total of 4.3% over five years, an increase of £6,866. However, this house price growth is much more sustainable than the 26.7% total increase in Scottish house prices, seen between 2005 and 2010 when prices shot up by £33,826,’ said Campbell.
But Scotland’s sales have bucked the usual seasonal trend, increasing 3% over the previous month, while sales in England and Wales fell by 1.5% over the same period. ‘In Scotland, sales will typically fall by 6% during this period which make the growth particularly significant. This month Scotland has had the strongest September sales since 2007, with 10% more sales this month than last year,’ Campbell added. |
