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UK annual house price growth falls again


04-01-2015

Image Annual house price growth in the UK slowed to 5.1% in March from 5.7% in February and prices were up just 0.1% month on month, according to the latest index figures.

It means that annual house price growth has now slowed for seven months in a row, taking the average price of a property to £189,454, the data from the Nationwide Building Society shows.

UK house prices are currently around 2% above their pre-crisis levels. However, the pace of housing market activity has remained subdued, with the number of mortgages approved for house purchase in January around 20% below the level prevailing a year ago.

‘Economic conditions have remained supportive, with labour market conditions continuing to improve and mortgage interest rates close to all-time lows,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist.

While house price growth has moderated across the UK, there is still significant regional variation. Prices in London and the South of England continued to see the strongest rates of annual growth, though there was a noticeable softening this quarter, particularly in London

Price growth also continued to cool in the North West of England, Scotland and Wales, even though prices in these regions remain some way below their 2007 peak. Indeed, in annual terms, prices in Wales declined by 0.5% in the first quarter of 2015.

A breakdown of the figures show that all regions except the North of England saw a further slowing in annual price growth in the first three months of 2015. Across the UK as a whole, prices rose by 0.6% over the quarter, after allowing for seasonal effects. Prices were up 5.9% compared with the first quarter of 2014.

London remained the strongest performing region, with average prices up 12.7% year on year, although annual house price growth has slowed noticeably compared with recent quarters, with growth down from 17.8% in the fourth quarter of 2014.

Amongst the other English regions, the Outer Metropolitan area continued to outperform, with annual price growth not far behind London at 12%. Yorkshire and Humberside was the weakest performing English region, with prices up 1.3% over the last 12 months.

Northern Ireland saw a slowing in annual price growth to 5.7%, while annual price growth in Scotland moderated to 1.3%. Wales remained the weakest performing region and was also the only region to see a fall in average prices, which were down 0.5% compared with the first quarter of 2014.

There was a further slowing in annual house price growth in Scotland, from 4.2% last quarter to 1.3% this quarter. Edinburgh was the best performing area, with prices up 11% on the previous year. The Highlands and Islands saw the weakest growth, with prices up 2%.

The Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) is set to be introduced in Scotland on 01 April. Under LBTT, those purchasing properties above £333,000 will pay more tax compared with marginal stamp duty land tax (SDLT) system now in use in the rest of the UK. However, based on 2013/2014 transactions, nearly 60% will pay less tax under LBTT compared with the old slab structure SDLT, with average savings around £1,600.

Wales saw its third consecutive quarter on quarter fall in house prices, with a 0.5% seasonally adjusted decline. The annual rate of change slipped into negative territory, with average prices down 0.5% compared with the first quarter of 2014. South West Wales, which includes Bridgend, the Vale of Glamorgan and Swansea, was the best performing with prices up 5% year on year.

House prices in Northern Ireland were up 5.7% year on year, similar to the UK average. West Northern Ireland, which includes Coleraine and Derry/Londonderry, was the strongest performing area with a 12% increase.

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